Braelon AllenorJonah Coleman?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Braelon Allen

Braelon Allen outscores Jonah Coleman in 60% of simulations.

Jonah Coleman still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Braelon Allen is the better bet, not a sure thing. Braelon Allen projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (11% more than average to RBs); Jonah Coleman faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Braelon Allen
Floor
2.8
Median
7.5
Ceiling
15.9
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
37%
Jonah Coleman
Floor
1.9
Median
5.9
Ceiling
13.5
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
51%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBraelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETJonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.76.9
PPR projection9.67.7
Standard projection7.86.1
Rank this weekRB25RB36
Matchupvs LVvs KC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.87.1
Last season per game3.6—
Snap share, last game78%49%
Trade value——