Jonah ColemanorMarShawn Lloyd?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Jonah Coleman

Jonah Coleman outscores MarShawn Lloyd in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: MarShawn Lloyd comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Jonah Coleman, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 6.9 half-PPR points in Week 8. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Jonah Coleman faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs). Jonah Coleman still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jonah Coleman
Floor
1.9
Median
5.9
Ceiling
13.5
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
51%
MarShawn Lloyd
Floor
1.9
Median
5.7
Ceiling
13.3
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
53%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ETMarShawn LloydRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.96.9
PPR projection7.77.9
Standard projection6.16.0
Rank this weekRB36RB35
Matchupvs KCvs CAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.16.2
Last season per game——
Snap share, last game49%36%
Trade value——