Jonah ColemanorPierre Strong?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Pierre Strong

Pierre Strong outscores Jonah Coleman in 55% of simulations.

Jonah Coleman still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Pierre Strong is the better bet, not a sure thing. Pierre Strong projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Pierre Strong has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Jonah Coleman faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Pierre Strong wins 62%; in Standard leagues, Jonah Coleman is the pick at 56%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jonah Coleman
Floor
1.9
Median
5.9
Ceiling
13.5
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
51%
Pierre Strong
Floor
2.5
Median
6.4
Ceiling
13.2
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
45%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatJonah ColemanRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ETPierre StrongRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.97.3
PPR projection7.79.6
Standard projection6.15.0
Rank this weekRB36RB32
Matchupvs KCvs CAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.16.3
Last season per game——
Snap share, last game49%55%
Trade value——