Kenny GainwellorPierre Strong?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Pierre Strong
Pierre Strong outscores Kenny Gainwell in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kenny Gainwell comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Pierre Strong, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenny Gainwell projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Pierre Strong has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Kenny Gainwell faces the Atlanta Falcons (4% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Pierre Strong wins 57%; in Standard leagues, Kenny Gainwell is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 13.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Pierre StrongRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.0 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB32 |
| Matchup | vs ATL | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.7 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | 10.9 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 30% | 55% |
| Trade value | — | — |