Kenny GainwellorOllie Gordon II?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Ollie Gordon II
Ollie Gordon II outscores Kenny Gainwell in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kenny Gainwell comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Ollie Gordon II, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ollie Gordon II projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Ollie Gordon II faces the New York Jets (21% more than average to RBs), Kenny Gainwell faces the Carolina Panthers (15% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Kenny Gainwell is the pick at 52%; in Standard leagues, Ollie Gordon II wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.2 | 8.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 7.8 |
| Rank this week | RB29 | RB25 |
| Matchup | at CAR | at NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.0 | 11.4 |
| Last season per game | 10.9 | 3.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 15% | 65% |
| Trade value | — | — |