Ollie Gordon IIorTony Pollard?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Ollie Gordon II in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Ollie Gordon II comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Tony Pollard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 8.3 half-PPR points in Week 7. Ollie Gordon II has the better matchup against the New York Jets (21% more than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Cleveland Browns (10% fewer than average to RBs). Tony Pollard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 9.0 |
| Standard projection | 7.8 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | RB23 | RB22 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.4 | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | 3.0 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 65% | 76% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |