Tony PollardorWoody Marks?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Woody Marks in 66% of simulations.
Woody Marks still comes out ahead in the other 34%, so Tony Pollard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tony Pollard projects 4.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Woody Marks has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs). Tony Pollard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Woody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.3 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | RB15 | RB33 |
| Matchup | vs JAX | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.7 | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | 10.0 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 66% |
| Trade value | 39 | — |