Alvin KamaraorAudric Estimé?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Audric Estimé
Audric Estimé outscores Alvin Kamara in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Alvin Kamara comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Audric Estimé, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 8.3 half-PPR points in Week 6. Alvin Kamara has the better matchup against the New York Giants (11% more than average to RBs); Audric Estimé faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs). Audric Estimé still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alvin KamaraRB, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Audric EstiméRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 9.4 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 7.1 |
| Rank this week | RB23 | RB24 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.8 | — |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 8.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 27% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |