Rachaad WhiteorWoody Marks?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Rachaad White
Rachaad White outscores Woody Marks in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Woody Marks comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Rachaad White, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Woody Marks projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Woody Marks has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (15% more than average to RBs); Rachaad White faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Rachaad White still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 15.8
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET | Woody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.1 | 8.2 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 9.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.8 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | RB31 | RB30 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.5 | 6.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.2 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 37% |
| Trade value | — | — |