Alvin KamaraorRachaad White?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Rachaad White
Rachaad White outscores Alvin Kamara in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Alvin Kamara comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Rachaad White, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rachaad White projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Rachaad White has the better matchup against the New York Giants (13% more than average to RBs); Alvin Kamara faces the Minnesota Vikings (18% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alvin KamaraRB, NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 9.3 | 9.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.4 | 7.1 |
| Rank this week | RB33 | RB30 |
| Matchup | vs MIN | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.9 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 7.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 38% | 43% |
| Trade value | — | — |