J.K. DobbinsorRachaad White?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start J.K. Dobbins
J.K. Dobbins outscores Rachaad White in 55% of simulations.
Rachaad White still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so J.K. Dobbins is the better bet, not a sure thing. J.K. Dobbins projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: J.K. Dobbins faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs), Rachaad White faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Rachaad White is the pick at 51%; in Standard leagues, J.K. Dobbins wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | J.K. DobbinsRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.6 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.8 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | RB29 | RB31 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.3 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 7.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 43% |
| Trade value | — | — |