Audric EstiméorJ.K. Dobbins?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean J.K. Dobbins
J.K. Dobbins outscores Audric Estimé in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Audric Estimé comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean J.K. Dobbins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. J.K. Dobbins projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Audric Estimé has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs); J.K. Dobbins faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs). J.K. Dobbins still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, J.K. Dobbins wins 60%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Audric EstiméRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | J.K. DobbinsRB, DEN, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB22 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 6.7 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 11.0 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 52% |
| Trade value | — | 1 |