Devin SingletaryorJacory Croskey-Merritt?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Jacory Croskey-Merritt outscores Devin Singletary in 58% of simulations.
Devin Singletary still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Jacory Croskey-Merritt is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jacory Croskey-Merritt projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Devin Singletary has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); Jacory Croskey-Merritt faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Jacory Croskey-Merritt still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 13.8
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Devin SingletaryRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.3 | 7.7 |
| PPR projection | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.6 | 7.3 |
| Rank this week | RB38 | RB34 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 7.4 |
| Last season per game | 5.9 | 8.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 26% | 57% |
| Trade value | — | — |