Jacory Croskey-MerrittorQuinshon Judkins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins outscores Jacory Croskey-Merritt in 60% of simulations.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Quinshon Judkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Quinshon Judkins projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs); Quinshon Judkins faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% fewer than average to RBs). Quinshon Judkins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB28 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.4 | 7.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 57% | 51% |
| Trade value | — | 2 |