Aaron JonesorCam Skattebo?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Cam Skattebo
Cam Skattebo outscores Aaron Jones in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Aaron Jones comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Cam Skattebo, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Cam Skattebo projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Aaron Jones has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (17% more than average to RBs); Cam Skattebo faces the Washington Commanders (5% more than average to RBs). Cam Skattebo still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.5
- Ceiling
- 21.8
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron JonesRB, MIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Cam SkatteboRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.3 | 12.7 |
| PPR projection | 12.6 | 14.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.9 | 11.4 |
| Rank this week | RB16 | RB12 |
| Matchup | at NO | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 14.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 73% | 64% |
| Trade value | 5 | 22 |