Blake CorumorChris Rodriguez Jr.?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Blake Corum in 57% of simulations.
Blake Corum still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Chris Rodriguez Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs); Blake Corum faces the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 13.5
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 57%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Blake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.5 | 7.0 |
| PPR projection | 6.9 | 7.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 7.0 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB34 |
| Matchup | at PHI | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.9 | 4.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 29% | 21% |
| Trade value | — | — |