Chris Rodriguez Jr.orTyler Allgeier?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Tyler Allgeier in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Allgeier comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Allgeier projects 0.8 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (average to RBs); Tyler Allgeier faces the Los Angeles Rams (13% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 13.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 7.7 | 9.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB31 |
| Matchup | at TEN | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.5 | 8.8 |
| Last season per game | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 45% | 96% |
| Trade value | — | — |