Chris Rodriguez Jr.orEmmett Johnson?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Emmett Johnson in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Emmett Johnson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chris Rodriguez Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Emmett Johnson projects 0.7 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Tennessee Titans (average to RBs), Emmett Johnson faces the Atlanta Falcons (6% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Emmett Johnson is the pick at 53%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Floor
2.5
Median
6.6
Ceiling
13.7
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
44%
Emmett Johnson
Floor
1.4
Median
6.2
Ceiling
17.3
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
48%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

Share this

StatChris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETEmmett JohnsonRB, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.58.2
PPR projection7.79.2
Standard projection7.27.3
Rank this weekRB32RB31
Matchupat TENat ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.56.7
Last season per game7.5—
Snap share, last game45%30%
Trade value——