Emmett JohnsonorTyler Allgeier?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tyler Allgeier
Tyler Allgeier outscores Emmett Johnson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Emmett Johnson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Tyler Allgeier, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Allgeier projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Emmett Johnson has the better matchup against the New York Jets (17% more than average to RBs); Tyler Allgeier faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs). Tyler Allgeier still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 18.7
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emmett JohnsonRB, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 9.6 | 9.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | RB28 | RB26 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 9.2 |
| Last season per game | — | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 19% | 59% |
| Trade value | — | — |