Braelon AllenorWoody Marks?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Woody Marks
Woody Marks outscores Braelon Allen in 56% of simulations.
Braelon Allen still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Woody Marks is the better bet, not a sure thing. Woody Marks projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the New England Patriots (11% fewer than average to RBs); Woody Marks faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (23% fewer than average to RBs). Woody Marks still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 11.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 60%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Woody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| PPR projection | 6.5 | 7.8 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 6.2 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB30 |
| Matchup | at NE | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.2 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 85% |
| Trade value | — | — |