Rico DowdleorWoody Marks?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Rico Dowdle
Rico Dowdle outscores Woody Marks in 57% of simulations.
Woody Marks still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Rico Dowdle is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rico Dowdle projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Rico Dowdle has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs); Woody Marks faces the Cleveland Browns (average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Woody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.7 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.4 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | RB17 | RB29 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 47% | 66% |
| Trade value | 3 | — |