Audric EstiméorTyler Allgeier?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Audric Estimé
Audric Estimé outscores Tyler Allgeier in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Allgeier comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Audric Estimé, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Allgeier projects 0.7 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Audric Estimé has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (1% fewer than average to RBs); Tyler Allgeier faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Audric EstiméRB, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.3 | 10.0 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | RB33 | RB29 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.9 | 9.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 30% | 59% |
| Trade value | — | — |