Bhayshul TutenorChris Rodriguez Jr.?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Bhayshul Tuten
Bhayshul Tuten outscores Chris Rodriguez Jr. in 60% of simulations.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Bhayshul Tuten is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bhayshul Tuten projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Bhayshul Tuten faces the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs), Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 13.4
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.3 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 7.4 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB29 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 4.4 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 7.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 21% |
| Trade value | — | — |