Kenny GainwellorWoody Marks?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Woody Marks

Woody Marks outscores Kenny Gainwell in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Kenny Gainwell comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Woody Marks, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Woody Marks projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Woody Marks has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (3% fewer than average to RBs); Kenny Gainwell faces the Chicago Bears (12% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kenny Gainwell
Floor
1.8
Median
6.5
Ceiling
16.4
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
46%
Woody Marks
Floor
2.5
Median
7.1
Ceiling
15.5
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
41%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatKenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ETWoody MarksRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.98.2
PPR projection9.09.0
Standard projection6.87.3
Rank this weekRB32RB30
Matchupat CHIat LAC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.97.9
Last season per game10.98.3
Snap share, last game50%89%
Trade value——