Audric EstiméorKenny Gainwell?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Audric Estimé
Audric Estimé outscores Kenny Gainwell in 57% of simulations.
Kenny Gainwell still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Audric Estimé is the better bet, not a sure thing. Audric Estimé projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Audric Estimé faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs), Kenny Gainwell faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (7% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.0
- Ceiling
- 15.0
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 50%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Audric EstiméRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 8.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 5.7 |
| Rank this week | RB21 | RB25 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 10.9 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 36% |
| Trade value | — | — |