Audric EstiméorMarShawn Lloyd?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start MarShawn Lloyd
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Audric Estimé in 55% of simulations.
Audric Estimé still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so MarShawn Lloyd is the better bet, not a sure thing. MarShawn Lloyd projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (16% more than average to RBs); Audric Estimé faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Audric EstiméRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB20 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | — |
| Snap share, last game | — | 44% |
| Trade value | — | — |