MarShawn LloydorRico Dowdle?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean MarShawn Lloyd
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Rico Dowdle in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rico Dowdle comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean MarShawn Lloyd, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. MarShawn Lloyd projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (16% more than average to RBs); Rico Dowdle faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 17.9
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.2 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | RB23 | RB24 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | — | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 26% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |