Jordan MasonorRico Dowdle?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Rico Dowdle
Rico Dowdle outscores Jordan Mason in 55% of simulations.
Jordan Mason still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Rico Dowdle is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rico Dowdle projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Rico Dowdle faces the Cleveland Browns (5% fewer than average to RBs), Jordan Mason faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Rico Dowdle wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Rico Dowdle wins 50%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jordan MasonRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 9.3 |
| PPR projection | 7.8 | 10.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB23 |
| Matchup | at DET | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.3 | 6.6 |
| Last season per game | 7.6 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 44% |
| Trade value | — | — |