Bhayshul TutenorRico Dowdle?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Bhayshul Tuten
Bhayshul Tuten outscores Rico Dowdle in 58% of simulations.
Rico Dowdle still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Bhayshul Tuten is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bhayshul Tuten projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Rico Dowdle has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs); Bhayshul Tuten faces the Tennessee Titans (average to RBs). Bhayshul Tuten still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.9 | 10.7 |
| PPR projection | 12.6 | 12.0 |
| Standard projection | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | RB14 | RB17 |
| Matchup | at TEN | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.0 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 36% | 47% |
| Trade value | 22 | 3 |