Bhayshul TutenorTravis Etienne?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne outscores Bhayshul Tuten in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Bhayshul Tuten comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Travis Etienne, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Travis Etienne projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs); Travis Etienne faces the Atlanta Falcons (12% fewer than average to RBs). Travis Etienne still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bhayshul Tuten
Floor
3.2
Median
9.1
Ceiling
18.6
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
29%
Travis Etienne
Floor
4.7
Median
9.7
Ceiling
17.7
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
19%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETTravis EtienneRB, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.110.5
PPR projection10.811.7
Standard projection9.59.2
Rank this weekRB25RB22
Matchupat CINvs ATL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.88.5
Last season per game5.613.9
Snap share, last game48%38%
Trade value—14