Derrick HenryorTravis Etienne?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Derrick Henry
Derrick Henry outscores Travis Etienne in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Travis Etienne comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Derrick Henry, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Derrick Henry projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Travis Etienne has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (19% more than average to RBs); Derrick Henry faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs). Derrick Henry still wins more often despite that. Travis Etienne is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Derrick HenryRB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Travis EtienneRB, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.3 | 11.9 |
| PPR projection | 13.8 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | RB13 |
| Matchup | vs LAC | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 15.1 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 16.0 | 13.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 50% | 38% |
| Trade value | 34 | 21 |