Chase BrownorJavonte Williams?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Javonte Williams
Javonte Williams outscores Chase Brown in 68% of simulations.
Chase Brown still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so Javonte Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. These are their next games: Chase Brown in Week 10, Javonte Williams in Week 9. Javonte Williams projects 4.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Javonte Williams has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs); Chase Brown faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (13% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Javonte Williams wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Javonte Williams wins 74%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 18.2
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
- Floor
- 6.8
- Median
- 13.8
- Ceiling
- 25.2
- Big game (20+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.9 | 15.0 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 16.0 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 13.9 |
| Rank this week | Not ranked | RB7 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.4 | 15.9 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 14.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 69% | 74% |
| Trade value | 15 | 35 |