Ashton JeantyorKyren Williams?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams outscores Ashton Jeanty in 60% of simulations.
Ashton Jeanty still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Kyren Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kyren Williams projects 2.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Kyren Williams has the better matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs); Ashton Jeanty faces the Kansas City Chiefs (12% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 11.4
- Ceiling
- 24.6
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 7.9
- Median
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 23.7
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.0 | 15.5 |
| PPR projection | 14.7 | 16.9 |
| Standard projection | 11.3 | 14.0 |
| Rank this week | RB11 | RB7 |
| Matchup | vs KC | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.3 | 15.8 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 71% |
| Trade value | 31 | 40 |