Ashton JeantyorBhayshul Tuten?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Bhayshul Tuten

Bhayshul Tuten outscores Ashton Jeanty in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Ashton Jeanty comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Bhayshul Tuten, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bhayshul Tuten projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (average to RBs); Ashton Jeanty faces the Seattle Seahawks (14% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Ashton Jeanty is the pick at 52%; in Standard leagues, Bhayshul Tuten wins 59%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Ashton Jeanty
Floor
3.6
Median
9.6
Ceiling
20.6
Big game (20+):
11%
Dud (under 6):
25%
Bhayshul Tuten
Floor
3.8
Median
10.7
Ceiling
21.9
Big game (20+):
14%
Dud (under 6):
23%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatAshton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ETBhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection11.011.9
PPR projection12.912.6
Standard projection9.111.2
Rank this weekRB15RB14
Matchupvs SEAat TEN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game13.115.0
Last season per game12.85.6
Snap share, last game64%36%
Trade value2021