Rico DowdleorTony Pollard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Rico Dowdle in 58% of simulations.
Rico Dowdle still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Tony Pollard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tony Pollard projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Rico Dowdle has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs). Tony Pollard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.7 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 9.4 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | RB17 | RB13 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 47% | 82% |
| Trade value | 4 | 40 |