Breece HallorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Breece Hall
Breece Hall outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rhamondre Stevenson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Breece Hall, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Breece Hall projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (3% more than average to RBs); Breece Hall faces the Cleveland Browns (8% fewer than average to RBs). Breece Hall still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.3 | 11.0 |
| PPR projection | 12.6 | 12.3 |
| Standard projection | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | RB19 | RB20 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 66% |
| Trade value | 18 | 10 |