Bhayshul TutenorSaquon Barkley?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Bhayshul Tuten
Bhayshul Tuten outscores Saquon Barkley in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Saquon Barkley comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Bhayshul Tuten, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Bhayshul Tuten projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (20% more than average to RBs); Saquon Barkley faces the Los Angeles Rams (13% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Saquon BarkleyRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.2 | 9.4 |
| PPR projection | 10.8 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 8.6 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB28 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 6.5 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 13.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 72% |
| Trade value | — | 7 |