Kyle MonangaiorRJ Harvey?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Kyle Monangai
Kyle Monangai outscores RJ Harvey in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: RJ Harvey comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Kyle Monangai, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyle Monangai projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Kyle Monangai has the better matchup against the New York Jets (27% more than average to RBs); RJ Harvey faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, RJ Harvey is the pick at 55%; in Standard leagues, Kyle Monangai wins 56%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 18.8
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyle MonangaiRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | RJ HarveyRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 11.5 |
| Standard projection | 9.1 | 7.7 |
| Rank this week | RB26 | RB27 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.8 | 6.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.1 | 10.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 31% | 36% |
| Trade value | — | 1 |