Omarion HamptonorTony Pollard?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton outscores Tony Pollard in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tony Pollard comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Omarion Hampton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Omarion Hampton projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Tony Pollard has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (1% more than average to RBs); Omarion Hampton faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to RBs). Omarion Hampton still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Omarion HamptonRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.2 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 11.2 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.2 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | RB23 | RB27 |
| Matchup | at SEA | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 13.3 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 42% | 53% |
| Trade value | 17 | — |