Omarion HamptonorTony Pollard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Omarion Hampton in 62% of simulations.
Omarion Hampton still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Tony Pollard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tony Pollard projects 3.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Omarion Hampton has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs). Tony Pollard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Omarion HamptonRB, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.2 | 12.3 |
| PPR projection | 10.3 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 8.1 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | RB28 | RB15 |
| Matchup | at BAL | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.8 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 13.3 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 40% | 82% |
| Trade value | — | 39 |