Braelon AllenorOmarion Hampton?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Omarion Hampton
Omarion Hampton outscores Braelon Allen in 88% of simulations.
Braelon Allen comes out ahead in the other 12%. Omarion Hampton projects 6.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (3% fewer than average to RBs); Omarion Hampton faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to RBs). Omarion Hampton still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 3.5
- Ceiling
- 7.3
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 82%
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 9.4
- Ceiling
- 18.2
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Omarion HamptonRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.0 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 4.4 | 11.6 |
| Standard projection | 3.6 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | RB51 | RB21 |
| Matchup | at CHI | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.1 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 13.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 42% |
| Trade value | — | 21 |