Braelon AllenorDavid Montgomery?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen outscores David Montgomery in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: David Montgomery comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Braelon Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Braelon Allen projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. David Montgomery has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (3% fewer than average to RBs); Braelon Allen faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs). Braelon Allen still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 16.7
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.0 | 8.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 8.2 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB31 |
| Matchup | at KC | at LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.4 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 14% |
| Trade value | — | — |