David MontgomeryorTyler Allgeier?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean David Montgomery
David Montgomery outscores Tyler Allgeier in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Allgeier comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean David Montgomery, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyler Allgeier projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. David Montgomery has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (3% fewer than average to RBs); Tyler Allgeier faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Tyler AllgeierRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.9 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.6 | 10.0 |
| Standard projection | 8.1 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | RB31 | RB29 |
| Matchup | at LAC | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| Last season per game | 9.1 | 6.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 14% | 59% |
| Trade value | — | — |