David MontgomeryorEmanuel Wilson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean David Montgomery
David Montgomery outscores Emanuel Wilson in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Emanuel Wilson comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean David Montgomery, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 7.8 half-PPR points in Week 6. Emanuel Wilson has the better matchup against the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to RBs); David Montgomery faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (23% fewer than average to RBs). David Montgomery still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 18.7
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Emanuel WilsonRB, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.8 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 8.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 7.3 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB25 |
| Matchup | at JAX | at DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.4 | 9.7 |
| Last season per game | 9.1 | 5.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 14% | 59% |
| Trade value | 4 | — |