Blake CorumorJ.K. Dobbins?

Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins outscores Blake Corum in 56% of simulations.

Blake Corum still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so J.K. Dobbins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Both project 8.8 half-PPR points in Week 8. Blake Corum has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs); J.K. Dobbins faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs). J.K. Dobbins still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Blake Corum
Floor
2.1
Median
7.1
Ceiling
17.8
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
42%
J.K. Dobbins
Floor
4.1
Median
8.1
Ceiling
14.3
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
27%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBlake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 p.m. ETJ.K. DobbinsRB, DEN, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.88.8
PPR projection9.49.4
Standard projection8.38.3
Rank this weekRB24RB23
Matchupvs LACvs KC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.27.7
Last season per game7.011.0
Snap share, last game44%23%
Trade value—3