Emanuel WilsonorRJ Harvey?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start RJ Harvey
RJ Harvey outscores Emanuel Wilson in 59% of simulations.
Emanuel Wilson still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so RJ Harvey is the better bet, not a sure thing. RJ Harvey projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Emanuel Wilson has the better matchup against the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to RBs); RJ Harvey faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs). RJ Harvey still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 18.7
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 54%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emanuel WilsonRB, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET | RJ HarveyRB, DEN, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.8 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 9.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB22 |
| Matchup | at DEN | vs SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.7 | 7.2 |
| Last season per game | 5.1 | 10.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 37% |
| Trade value | — | 5 |