Bhayshul TutenorDavid Montgomery?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Bhayshul Tuten
Bhayshul Tuten outscores David Montgomery in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: David Montgomery comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Bhayshul Tuten, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. David Montgomery projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Bhayshul Tuten faces the Philadelphia Eagles (6% more than average to RBs), David Montgomery faces the Tennessee Titans (average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 16.1
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Bhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.8 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 9.8 |
| Standard projection | 8.2 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB22 |
| Matchup | vs PHI | at TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.2 | 10.2 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 59% | 56% |
| Trade value | — | — |