David MontgomeryorRJ Harvey?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean David Montgomery
David Montgomery outscores RJ Harvey in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: RJ Harvey comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean David Montgomery, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. David Montgomery projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. David Montgomery has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (16% more than average to RBs); RJ Harvey faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 21.1
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 18.7
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | RJ HarveyRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 11.8 |
| Standard projection | 9.8 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | RB21 | RB25 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.2 | 6.9 |
| Last season per game | 9.1 | 10.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 63% | 36% |
| Trade value | 2 | 1 |