Omarion HamptonorRJ Harvey?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton outscores RJ Harvey in 56% of simulations.

RJ Harvey still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Omarion Hampton is the better bet, not a sure thing. Omarion Hampton projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. RJ Harvey has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs); Omarion Hampton faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to RBs). Omarion Hampton still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Omarion Hampton wins 51%; in Standard leagues, Omarion Hampton wins 61%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Omarion Hampton
Floor
4.0
Median
9.1
Ceiling
17.6
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
24%
RJ Harvey
Floor
2.9
Median
8.2
Ceiling
17.7
Big game (20+):
6%
Dud (under 6):
34%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatOmarion HamptonRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ETRJ HarveyRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.29.6
PPR projection11.211.5
Standard projection9.27.7
Rank this weekRB23RB26
Matchupat SEAat SF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.16.9
Last season per game13.310.8
Snap share, last game42%36%
Trade value171