RJ HarveyorTravis Etienne?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Travis Etienne
Travis Etienne outscores RJ Harvey in 58% of simulations.
RJ Harvey still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Travis Etienne is the better bet, not a sure thing. Travis Etienne projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. RJ Harvey has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs); Travis Etienne faces the Atlanta Falcons (12% fewer than average to RBs). Travis Etienne still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | RJ HarveyRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Travis EtienneRB, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 11.5 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.7 | 9.2 |
| Rank this week | RB26 | RB22 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.9 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 10.8 | 13.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 36% | 38% |
| Trade value | 1 | 14 |