Rhamondre StevensonorTravis Etienne?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Travis Etienne
Travis Etienne outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 57% of simulations.
Rhamondre Stevenson still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Travis Etienne is the better bet, not a sure thing. Travis Etienne projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (16% more than average to RBs); Travis Etienne faces the Atlanta Falcons (12% fewer than average to RBs). Travis Etienne still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 20.1
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
- Floor
- 4.7
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Travis EtienneRB, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.1 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 11.6 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 9.2 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB22 |
| Matchup | at BUF | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 13.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 38% |
| Trade value | — | 14 |